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Modon Hudayriyat Golf Estates books AED 13bn+ at launch· Emaar unveils AED 200bn Dubai megaproject for 150,000 residents· Arada launches ADGM-based Arada Capital targeting USD 5bn AUM· Dubai H1 2026 prime sales above USD 10M hit 296 deals worth USD 5.1bn· Dubai off-plan office sales cross AED 13.1bn in H1, beat prior 7 years combined·

UAE Real Estate Outlook

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DUBAI Q1AED 252BN▲ 24%|TXN45,077▲ 22.4%|OFF-PLAN62%▲ 3PT|AED/SQFT1,676▼ 0.4%|PRIME PSFAED 3,120▲ 25.1%|DUBAI POP4.25M▲ 6.4%|ABU DHABI H1AED 84.5BN▲ 174%|ABU DHABI OFF-PLAN68%▲ 8PT|ABU DHABI FOREIGN42%▲ 6PT|EIBOR 1M3.76%▲ 11BP|FED FUNDS4.25%▼ 25BP|AED PEG3.6725/USD|EUR/USD1.1406▼ 0.07%|GBP/USD1.3405▲ 0.14%|GOLD$4,029/oz▼ 0.30%|DUBAI POP 20314,851 → 6,588BY 2031|BRENT$84.70▼ 1.29%|DUBAI Q1AED 252BN▲ 24%|TXN45,077▲ 22.4%|OFF-PLAN62%▲ 3PT|AED/SQFT1,676▼ 0.4%|PRIME PSFAED 3,120▲ 25.1%|DUBAI POP4.25M▲ 6.4%|ABU DHABI H1AED 84.5BN▲ 174%|ABU DHABI OFF-PLAN68%▲ 8PT|ABU DHABI FOREIGN42%▲ 6PT|EIBOR 1M3.76%▲ 11BP|FED FUNDS4.25%▼ 25BP|AED PEG3.6725/USD|EUR/USD1.1406▼ 0.07%|GBP/USD1.3405▲ 0.14%|GOLD$4,029/oz▼ 0.30%|DUBAI POP 20314,851 → 6,588BY 2031|BRENT$84.70▼ 1.29%|
§ 01 · Yesterday’s Numbers

Dubai Sales · Yesterday’s Numbers

Residential sales. Apartments, villas and townhouses. 01 Oct 2026.
Title Deed · Volume
151transactions
01 Oct 2026
Oqood · Volume
185transactions
01 Oct 2026
Title Deed · Value
311.01AED M
01 Oct 2026
Oqood · Value
404.31AED M
01 Oct 2026
Source: Propertymonitor · 01 Oct 2026
§ 02 · Current Quarter to Date

Dubai Sales · Current Quarter

Residential sales. Apartments, villas and townhouses. 01 Oct – 01 Oct 2026.
Title Deed · Volume
151transactions
01 Oct – 01 Oct 2026
Oqood · Volume
185transactions
01 Oct – 01 Oct 2026
Title Deed · Value
0.31AED BN
01 Oct – 01 Oct 2026
Oqood · Value
0.40AED BN
01 Oct – 01 Oct 2026
Source: Propertymonitor · 01 Oct 2026
§ 03 · Year to Date

Dubai Sales · Year to Date

Residential sales. Apartments, villas and townhouses. 01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026.
Title Deed · Volume
31,989transactions
01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026
Oqood · Volume
80,909transactions
01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026
Title Deed · Value
114.61AED BN
01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026
Oqood · Value
178.32AED BN
01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026
Source: Propertymonitor · 01 Oct 2026
§ 03 · Title Deed vs Oqood

01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026

Transactions

Title Deed31,989
Oqood80,909

Value AED BN

Title Deed114.61
Oqood178.32
Propertymonitor
§ 03 · Residential Mix · Apartment / Townhouse / Villa

01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026 · Title Deed + Oqood

Transactions112,898 total
ValueAED 292.93bn total
Apartment95,934AED 175.29bnavg 1.83M
Townhouse11,769AED 43.23bnavg 3.67M
Villa5,195AED 74.41bnavg 14.32M
Propertymonitor
§ 04 · Yesterday’s Numbers

Dubai Rentals · Yesterday’s Numbers

Residential rentals. New contracts and renewals. 01 Oct 2026.
New · Volume
4,355contracts
01 Oct 2026
Renewals · Volume
3,267contracts
01 Oct 2026
New · Value
449.20AED M
01 Oct 2026
Renewals · Value
272.72AED M
01 Oct 2026
Source: Propertymonitor · 01 Oct 2026
§ 05 · Current Quarter to Date

Dubai Rentals · Current Quarter

Residential rentals. New contracts and renewals. 01 Oct – 01 Oct 2026.
New · Volume
4,355contracts
01 Oct – 01 Oct 2026
Renewals · Volume
3,267contracts
01 Oct – 01 Oct 2026
New · Value
0.45AED BN
01 Oct – 01 Oct 2026
Renewals · Value
0.27AED BN
01 Oct – 01 Oct 2026
Source: Propertymonitor · 01 Oct 2026
§ 06 · Year to Date

Dubai Rentals · Year to Date

Residential rentals. New contracts and renewals. 01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026.
New · Volume
173,345contracts
01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026
Renewals · Volume
275,043contracts
01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026
New · Value
18.48AED BN
01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026
Renewals · Value
21.61AED BN
01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026
Source: Propertymonitor · 01 Oct 2026

Dubai Commercial Sales

Commercial transactions. Office, retail, industrial. Quarter and Year to Date.
QTD · Volume
40transactions
01 Oct – 01 Oct 2026
QTD · Value
0.13AED BN
01 Oct – 01 Oct 2026
YTD · Volume
9,148transactions
01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026
YTD · Value
82.83AED BN
01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026
Source: Propertymonitor · 01 Oct 2026
§03 · Commercial Mix · YTD 2026

Commercial Mix · Volume vs Value

01 Jan – 01 Oct 2026
Dubai commercial transactions
Transactions
Value
OFFICE
3,677 · 40.2%
AED 20.16bn · 24.3%
Avg 5.48M · 2,980/sqft
HOTEL APT
1,927 · 21.1%
AED 3.67bn · 4.4%
Avg 1.90M · 2,121/sqft
LAND
1,237 · 13.5%
AED 40.01bn · 48.3%
Avg 32.34M · 1,220/sqft
RETAIL
1,218 · 13.3%
AED 4.99bn · 6.0%
Avg 4.10M · 3,404/sqft
HOTEL ROOM
719 · 7.9%
AED 0.80bn · 1.0%
Avg 1.12M · 4,250/sqft
WHOLE BLDG
220 · 2.4%
AED 10.34bn · 12.5%
Avg 47.00M · 326,801/sqft
OTHER
150 · 1.6%
AED 2.86bn · 3.5%
Industrial · Labour Camp · Warehouse · Agriculture · Showroom · Workshop · Villa Complex · Parking · School · Hospital · Factory
Source: Propertymonitor · 01 Oct 2026
§ 02

Abu Dhabi Watch

Capital market, DMT source data.
H1 Sales ValueDMT
84.5AED BN
+174% YoY
Jan–Jun 2026
Off-plan ShareDMT
68%
+8PT YoY
H1 2026
H1 TransactionsDMT
14,182transactions
+31% YoY
Jan–Jun 2026
Foreign Buyer ShareDMT
42%
+6PT YoY
H1 2026

§ 03 · Market Intelligence

Market Intelligence

Developer rankings by initial Oqood sales count and value, YTD 2026.

Developer · Volume YTD

Top 10 by Volume

YTD 2026, ranked by initial Oqood sales count.

Azizi
11,827
DAMAC
6,968
Binghatti
6,604
Emaar
4,998
Ellington
3,039
Imtiaz
2,721
Sobha Group
2,455
Reportage Real Estate
2,282
Samana
2,186
Wasl
1,718
Source: Propertymonitor · 02 Oct 2026
Developer · Value YTD

Top 10 by AED Value

YTD 2026, ranked by initial Oqood sales value.

DAMAC
AED 17.36 BN
Emaar
AED 16.59 BN
Binghatti
AED 10.16 BN
Azizi
AED 9.92 BN
Ellington
AED 8.47 BN
Sobha Group
AED 7.38 BN
H&H
AED 7.03 BN
Meraas
AED 6.92 BN
Beyond
AED 6.75 BN
Wasl
AED 4.26 BN
Source: Propertymonitor · 02 Oct 2026
12-Month pulse · Dubai

Monthly Transaction Sparkline

Rolling twelve-month deal count by month. YTD 2026 running well above the 2025 comparable base.

Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Q1 2026AED 252bn / 60,303 deals
H1 est.AED 480bn+
Off-plan share75%
YoY change▲ 22.4%
Sources · Dubai Land Department · Property Monitor
EIBOR · Live
30 Jul 2026 · CBUAE
1 Month
3.76%
3 Month
3.83%
6 Month
4.03%
12 Month
4.12%
Lender Primary (Res) Investment Non-Resident
Emirates NBD 3.99–4.75% 4.25–4.99% 4.75–5.50%
HSBC UAE 4.20–4.89% 4.45–5.15% 4.50–5.10%
ADCB 3.99–4.25% 4.20–4.75% 4.70–5.30%
Mashreq 4.10–4.49% 4.30–4.80% 4.70–5.30%
FAB 3.99–4.49% 4.25–4.85% 4.60–5.40%
DIB (Islamic) 3.99–4.50% 4.35–4.90% 4.75–5.35%
Variable Bands
Variable = 3M EIBOR + 1.4–2.5% margin, priced by profile and LTV. All-in today: roughly 5.3–6.4%. Islamic (Ijarah) tracks EIBOR at 3/6/12-month review with fixed margin for life.
LTV Caps · CBUAE
First home ≤AED 5M: 80% · >AED 5M: 65%
Second / investment: 60% · Off-plan: 50%
Non-resident: 60–65%
Guide only, actual LTV varies bank to bank. Bands shown differentiate first home, second / investment and non-resident purchases.
Indicative ranges only, effective rate depends on borrower profile, tenure and relationship pricing.
1 Unit → AED · 24h Change
01 Oct 2026 · ECB
USD0.27229
3.67250PEGGED
JPY43.01803
0.02325▼ 0.62%
EUR0.24101
4.14919▼ 0.50%
INR26.22969
0.03812▼ 0.51%
GBP0.20576
4.86007▼ 0.40%
CHF0.22744
4.39673▼ 0.07%
AUD0.39176
2.55256▼ 0.24%
CNY1.82561
0.54776– 0.00%
CAD0.38791
2.57794▼ 0.44%
Prime Global Cities
▲25.1 %
Dubai prime residential, 2025 · PIRI 100
Prime prices in Dubai rose 25.1% over 2025, against a global average of 3.2%. Tokyo led the index at 58.5%. The Middle East region gained 9.4%, ahead of Asia-Pacific (3.6%), Europe (3.3%) and Latin America / Caribbean (4.7%); North America contracted 0.9%.
Source: Knight Frank PIRI 100, Wealth Report 2026, 23 Apr 2026
UAE UHNW Trajectory
4,851
UAE ultra-high-net-worth individuals, 2026
The UAE cohort of US$30M+ individuals reached 4,851, up 55% from 3,193 in 2021. Knight Frank projects 6,588 by 2031, a further 36% expansion, outpacing the Middle East regional forecast of 32.1%. Dubai recorded 500 residential sales above US$10M in 2025, totalling US$9.05bn, up from 435 sales worth US$7.09bn in 2024.
Sources: Knight Frank Wealth Report 2026 · Dubai Q4 2025 Super-Prime, 12 Jan 2026
Cross-Border Capital
▲33 places
UAE cities, Savills Resilient Cities Index 2026
UAE cities advanced an average 33 places in Savills’ Resilient Cities Index 2026, driven by infrastructure investment. Dubai has earmarked 48% of its 2026 government spending for infrastructure, against a developed-world average below 20%. Knight Frank forecasts Dubai prime price growth of 3% and mainstream growth of 1% for 2026, a moderation after a 25.1% prime year, into a market underpinned by wealth migration rather than speculative cycles.
Sources: Savills Impacts Resilient Cities 2026 · Knight Frank Dubai Q3 2025 Review
Rates · Gulf News

UAE base rate rises to 3.9% as mortgage costs edge higher

The Central Bank raised its base rate by 25 basis points to 3.9% from 3.65%, effective 17 September, after the US Federal Reserve lifted its target range to 3.75% to 4.00%. Banks set their own product pricing, so the move does not pass through identically to every new mortgage.
16 Sep 2026 · gulfnews.com →
Valuation · The National

UBS: Dubai offers value even as bubble risk rises

Dubai scores 1.16 on the UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index, up from 1.09, fourth of 23 cities. A skilled service worker needs five years of income to buy a 60 sq m apartment near the centre, against 11 in London and 15 in Hong Kong. Real prices rose 0.4 per cent annually in Q2; real rents fell 4 per cent.
24 Sep 2026 · thenationalnews.com →
Rentals · Zawya

Dubai tenants switch homes as new-lease rents fall

New leases exceeded renewals by 633 contracts in July and 2,139 in August, the first time since the dataset began in January 2023, per fäm Properties analysis of DLD registrations. New-lease rents for the same building and unit type are 15.3% below January; the median new apartment lease was AED 94.6/sqft in August.
24 Sep 2026 · Zawya via tradingview.com →
Transactions · Khaleej Times

Dubai records AED 41.35bn of deals in August

Dubai Land Department data show 15,258 real estate transactions worth Dh41.35 billion in August 2026, including 11,243 sales valued at Dh26.71 billion. Off-plan accounted for nearly 68 per cent of sales volumes, as buyers weigh developer delivery records alongside launch terms.
17 Sep 2026 · khaleejtimes.com →
Abu Dhabi · Khaleej Times

Abu Dhabi deals top AED 155bn in eight months

Abu Dhabi recorded Dh155 billion of transactions in the first eight months of 2026, above the Dh142 billion registered across all of 2025. First-half FDI in the property sector reached Dh13.8 billion, with non-resident investors from 116 nationalities. JLL reports apartment prices up 19.4 per cent and townhouses up 11.2 per cent annually.
03 Sep 2026 · khaleejtimes.com →
Developers · The National

Azizi enters Sharjah with AED 30bn Azizi Florence

Azizi Developments is launching the Dh30 billion freehold Azizi Florence in Sharjah, with 1,130 villas, more than 6,000 town houses and 3,500 apartments around a 1.7 million sq ft Central Park. Three-bedroom town houses start from Dh1.89 million. Sharjah transactions rose 9.3 per cent to Dh29.5 billion in the first half.
09 Sep 2026 · thenationalnews.com →
Sep 2026 · DMT Abu Dhabi
Occupancy Certificate Deadline Extended
Abu Dhabi’s Department of Municipalities and Transport has extended the mandatory occupancy-certificate deadline from 16 September to 30 November 2026 under Administrative Decision No. (1) of 2024. Non-compliance carries an administrative fine of up to AED 1M, and ADREC will block new lease registration through Tawtheeq for units without a valid certificate.
Building compliance
The National →
Sep 2026 · Dubai Municipality
Shared Housing Permits Open
Circular No. (1-3-1) of 2026 implements Dubai Law No. (4) of 2026 on shared accommodation. Applications run through the Dubai Building Platform from 8 September 2026. Permits are valid for one year and renewable; the whole building or villa must be allocated to shared housing, limited to one resident category, individuals or families.
Tenancy & housing
Dubai Municipality →
Sep 2026 · ADREC
Off-Plan Mortgage Framework
Abu Dhabi Real Estate Centre now allows a financing bank to be named on an off-plan mortgage registration certificate before handover. Buyers who have paid 50 per cent of the purchase price can mortgage the unit, with the bank funding the remaining instalments and the handover payment. Aldar completed the first transaction on 4 September 2026.
Mortgage finance
Khaleej Times →
Sep 2026 · DLD
Initial Registration Platform
Dubai Land Department has launched Initial Registration (Oqood 2.0), integrating project registration, real estate transaction registration and escrow account management on one platform, with a pre-registration step that checks transaction requirements before an application is submitted. Launched 3 September 2026.
Registration
Dubai Land Department →
Aug 2026 · DLD
Rent Now, Pay Later
Dubai Land Department launching a partner-bank scheme to allow tenants to spread annual rent across up to twelve interest-free monthly instalments; the bank pays landlords the full annual amount upfront. September 2026 launch. Implication: potential lift in mid-market rental absorption while landlords keep upfront receipts.
Tenant financing
Khaleej Times →
June 2026 · DLD
POA Sale-Proceeds Ban
Dubai Land Department now prohibits Power-of-Attorney holders from receiving sale proceeds. Funds must route to the registered owner’s account only, closing a long-standing fraud vector on off-plan resale flips.
Investor protection
Dubai Land Department →
June 2026 · Federal
UAE Onshore Settlement Mandate
Sale proceeds must settle into a UAE bank account whose registered name matches the title deed exactly. Non-resident sellers can no longer wire directly offshore; onshore banking is now the compulsory rail.
AML / KYC
UAE Central Bank →
1 June 2026 · Federal Law
UAE Civil Transactions Law
Federal Decree-Law 25/2025 is now in force, the deepest overhaul of UAE property rights in 40 years. Musataha reformed as “Right of Superficies”, the 50-year cap removed, registration mandatory, and stronger buyer remedies against delayed handover.
Civil code overhaul
Clyde & Co →
Feb 2026 · ICP / DLD
Golden Visa Equity Rule Removed
The Golden Visa property route no longer requires 50% equity. Mortgaged and off-plan holdings at AED 2M valuation now qualify, opening the ten-year residency to leveraged and staged buyers for the first time.
Golden Visa
ICP →
April 2026 · GDRFA
Investor Visa Floor Removed
The AED 750K minimum for the two-year property investor residency has been withdrawn. Sole owners now qualify at any value; joint owners at AED 400K each, a material lift for the sub-AED 1M segment.
Residency
GDRFA →
2026 · DFSA + RERA
Dubai Real Estate Funds Law
New regime: AED 50M minimum fund size, dual DFSA and RERA oversight, 10% NAV liquidity reserve. Institutionalises the private real estate fund market and creates a compliant path for HNW pooled capital.
Institutional
DFSA →
2026 · RERA
5% Escrow Retention Rule
Developers must retain 5% of project value in escrow for 12 months post-handover as a defect warranty reserve. Tightens off-plan buyer protection and raises the working-capital bar for smaller developers.
Off-plan protection
Kaizen →
2026 · DLD
Smart Rental Index Update
Building-level star ratings and location-adjusted benchmarks now feed directly into the RERA rental calculator. Permitted landlord increases are indexed to building quality, not just community averages.
Rental market
DLD →
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Peter Burns, Founder, Habitare Real Estate Brokerage
Peter Burns · Founder
Read more about Peter ↓

Twelve years advising buyers, sellers and investors across the UK and UAE. Residential sales, rentals, off-plan and portfolio structuring. Six of those years with haus & haus Dubai, recognised for off-plan work and long-term client advisory. Earlier roles: Bailey & Co. (Northumberland), Countrywide (UK), and prior work in banking and pharma. A background that shaped his read of risk, negotiation and compliance.

Habitare was built for clients who value long-term relationships over transaction volume. The desk publishes what he uses in briefings. The deeper cuts, including the community heatmap, developer rankings, yield map and handover curve, sit behind a booked call.

“The transaction is rarely the difficult part. The real value comes from understanding people’s objectives, questioning assumptions, and protecting a client’s position long after contracts have been signed.”
Methodology ↓

Source. Our market insights are informed by verified industry data, including government records, established real estate data providers, independent market research and reputable regional and international news sources.

Refresh. Information is reviewed and updated regularly, typically on a daily basis. Where the latest verified data is temporarily unavailable, previously verified information may remain visible until updates are received.

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Information on this hub is drawn from developer sources and is presented for general reference. Prices, plans and availability change; details for each launch are confirmed by Habitare before reservation.
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